Race by Joanna Nowak

April: Running hot or running into recession?

Business and investment strategies to prepare for volatile supply chains and rising interest rates.

Chris Leeson
10 min readMay 1, 2022

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There’s money to be made and lost in volatility and uncertainty. Right now, the global economy has macro forces pulling at it from either direction. Consumers are running hot with household savings, an appetite for spending and a strong labour market that supports wage growth. On the other hand, China is locking down +50m people, triggering another supply shock, and the U.S. Fed is raising rates. Goldman Sachs are giving the U.S. economy a 35% chance of a major downturn between now and the end of next year. Businesses and investors need to get prepared.

In this months update we’ll delve into macro dynamics, business resilience, and how to manage rising rates. By the time you finish reading you should have a good understanding of the current environment and how to position your business or portfolio.

U.S. GDP by component, U.S. labour market

Regional Ripples and Tidal Waves

What happens in the regions impacts the world. Here’s the thing; globalisation has been a topic of discussion…

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Chris Leeson

Bringing finance and economics to you with a focus on in-depth analysis and everyday life.